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Sokol Ostroda vs Legionowo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lubak D.
35' Event
Baranski K.
90' Event
Wiejak S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Sokol Ostroda and Legionowo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legionowo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sokol Ostroda
20%
Draws
36%
Legionowo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sokol Ostroda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sokol Ostroda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sokol Ostroda's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokol Ostroda Legionowo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.37 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Legionowo
1:2
Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Sokol Ostroda
1:1
Jun 15, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs Sokol Ostroda
6:0
Nov 3, 2018 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Legionowo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Ostroda Compare

Top Goalscorer Lubak D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Legionowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Baranski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wiejak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Ostroda 40 / 100
Legionowo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokol Ostroda Legionowo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legionowo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Sokol Ostroda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sokol Ostroda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Ostroda VS Legionowo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Ostroda

(Home)
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2
Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1
Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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Legionowo

(Away)
22 Feb
Pelikan
3 : 1
Legionowo
08 Feb
Legionowo
3 : 2
Wilga Garwolin
05 Jun
Legionowo
2 : 2
Bron Radom
02 Jun
Pelikan
2 : 1
Legionowo
25 May
Legionowo
0 : 0
Legia II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LKS Lodz II 34 20 8 6 76:41 68
2 Legionowo 34 18 10 6 71:43 64
3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 18 10 6 62:39 64
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 18 7 9 66:45 61
5 Legia II 34 15 10 9 66:48 55
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
7 Unia Skierniewice 34 15 8 11 41:38 53
8 MKS Mlawa 34 15 7 12 83:71 52
9 Jagiellonia II 34 13 10 11 65:54 49
10 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 12 9 13 53:55 45
11 Pelikan 34 12 9 13 56:52 45
12 Sokol Ostroda 34 10 6 18 49:71 36
13 Olimpia Zambrow 34 9 9 16 40:63 36
14 Bron Radom 34 9 8 17 60:76 35
15 Warta Sieradz 34 8 10 16 39:53 34
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 9 17 38:61 33
17 Blonianka Blonie 34 8 6 20 35:68 30
18 Ursus Warszawa 34 5 10 19 42:72 25
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