Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2022/2023

Sokol Ostroda

2 - 2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Liehostaiev A.

48'

Swiety L.

66'

Lewicki S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sokol Ostroda

39%

Draws

31%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Sokol Ostroda has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 20%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sokol Ostroda	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	9	3
Draws	6	13
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Ostroda vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Oct 22, 2022 III Liga - Group I

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Nov 20, 2021 Division 2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Jul 31, 2021 Division 2

Sokol Ostroda vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Mar 28, 2020 III Liga - Group I

Sokol Ostroda vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Ostroda Compare

Top Goalscorer Liehostaiev A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Swiety L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewicki S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zembrowski R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Ostroda 31 / 100

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sokol Ostroda Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOK Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sokol Ostroda scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sokol Ostroda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sokol Ostroda VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	LKS Lodz II	34	20	8	6	76:41	68
2	Legionowo	34	18	10	6	71:43	64
3	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	18	10	6	62:39	64
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	18	7	9	66:45	61
5	Legia II	34	15	10	9	66:48	55
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
7	Unia Skierniewice	34	15	8	11	41:38	53
8	MKS Mlawa	34	15	7	12	83:71	52
9	Jagiellonia II	34	13	10	11	65:54	49
10	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	12	9	13	53:55	45
11	Pelikan	34	12	9	13	56:52	45
12	Sokol Ostroda	34	10	6	18	49:71	36
13	Olimpia Zambrow	34	9	9	16	40:63	36
14	Bron Radom	34	9	8	17	60:76	35
15	Warta Sieradz	34	8	10	16	39:53	34
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	9	17	38:61	33
17	Blonianka Blonie	34	8	6	20	35:68	30
18	Ursus Warszawa	34	5	10	19	42:72	25