Sport Picks
Sokol Ostroda vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
4'
4'
Koreeda S.
23'
23'
Piela J.
31'
31'
Krecichwost B.
AI Match Summary
Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Warta Sieradz have won more games recently than Sokol Ostroda.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Warta Sieradz taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sokol Ostroda | Warta Sieradz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Warta Sieradz
0:4
Aug 27, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Sokol Ostroda
0:0
Jun 9, 2018 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Sokol Ostroda
0:2
Nov 12, 2017 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Warta Sieradz
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Krecichwost B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Koreeda S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sokol Ostroda 18 / 100
Warta Sieradz 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sokol Ostroda Warta Sieradz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sokol Ostroda scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Warta Sieradz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Solid form: Sokol Ostroda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sokol Ostroda VS Warta Sieradz
0.5 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sokol Ostroda
(Home) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
24 May
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
13 May
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Legionowo
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Warta Sieradz
(Away) 03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Warta Sieradz
09 Aug
LKS Lodz II
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Warta Sieradz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
