Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024

Sokol Sieniawa

1 - 2

Chelmianka Chelm

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Mroczek K.

31'

Kielbasa B.

70'

Mroczek K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sokol Sieniawa

39%

Draws

30%

Chelmianka Chelm

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Chelmianka Chelm lately — more wins on the board than Sokol Sieniawa.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Sokol Sieniawa Clean Sheet 14%

Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sokol Sieniawa	Chelmianka Chelm
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	18
Draws	1	7
Losses	20	6
Goals Scored	0	2.13
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Sokol Sieniawa vs Chelmianka Chelm

1:2

Oct 20, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Sieniawa

3:1

Mar 29, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Sieniawa

4:2

Aug 14, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Sokol Sieniawa vs Chelmianka Chelm

2:1

Jun 5, 2022 III Liga - Group IV

Sokol Sieniawa vs Chelmianka Chelm

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokol Sieniawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kielbasa B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Chelmianka Chelm Compare

Top Goalscorer Mroczek K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokol Sieniawa 31 / 100

Chelmianka Chelm 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sokol Sieniawa Chelmianka Chelm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sokol Sieniawa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chelmianka Chelm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Sokol Sieniawa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chelmianka Chelm

0 Goals Scored 2.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokol Sieniawa

(Home)

21 Feb

MZKS Pogon Lezajsk

2 : 4

Sokol Sieniawa

15 Feb

Sokol Sieniawa

2 : 1

Korona Rzeszow

12 Feb

Jaroslaw

4 : 2

Sokol Sieniawa

20 Jul

Sokol Sieniawa

0 : 1

Jaroslaw

08 Jun

Sokol Sieniawa

1 : 2

Wiazownica

Page 1 of 6

Chelmianka Chelm

(Away)

18 Jul

Chelmianka Chelm

2 : 1

Hetman Zamosc

11 Jul

Leczna

4 : 1

Chelmianka Chelm

04 Jul

Avia Swidnik

2 : 1

Chelmianka Chelm

30 May

Wisloka Debica

1 : 2

Chelmianka Chelm

23 May

Chelmianka Chelm

2 : 0

Naprzod Jedrzejow

Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	25	3	6	99:35	78
2	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	21	7	6	70:30	70
3	Star Starachowice	34	20	6	8	52:27	66
4	Avia Swidnik	34	17	6	11	60:41	57
5	Wislanie Skawina	34	16	6	12	56:40	54
6	Biala Podlaska	34	15	9	10	47:35	54
7	Chelmianka Chelm	34	15	6	13	61:58	51
8	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	14	7	13	48:44	49
9	Czarni Polaniec	34	13	9	12	58:54	48
10	Garbarnia	34	12	10	12	49:58	46
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	9	13	41:53	45
12	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	11	11	12	43:47	44
13	Wiazownica	34	12	7	15	55:73	43
14	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	9	12	13	38:40	39
15	Unia Tarnow	34	10	6	18	51:66	36
16	KS Karpaty Krosno	34	6	7	21	26:67	25
17	Orleta Radzyn	34	5	9	20	32:61	24
18	Sokol Sieniawa	34	7	2	25	38:95	23

Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)