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Sokoto United vs Adamawa Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

Federation Cup
Sokoto United Logo

Sokoto United

2 - 0
FT
Adamawa Utd Logo

Adamawa Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Obi S. E.
81' Event
Bitrus C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sokoto United
15%
Draws
42%
Adamawa Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokoto United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Adamawa Utd average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of Sokoto United's 0.7.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sokoto United taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sokoto United, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sokoto United Clean Sheet 68%
Adamawa Utd Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sokoto United Adamawa Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Federation Cup
Sokoto United vs Adamawa Utd
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Sokoto United
2:1
Nov 25, 2023 NNL
Sokoto United vs Adamawa Utd
2:0
Jul 7, 2019 NNL
Adamawa Utd vs Sokoto United
1:0
Apr 20, 2019 NNL
Sokoto United vs Adamawa Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sokoto United Compare

Top Goalscorer Obi S. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bitrus C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Adamawa Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokoto United 59 / 100
Adamawa Utd 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sokoto United Adamawa Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sokoto United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adamawa Utd let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Sokoto United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sokoto United's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sokoto United VS Adamawa Utd
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sokoto United

(Home)
11 Jun
Sokoto United
0 : 1
El Kanemi Warriors
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1
Sokoto United
28 Mar
Sokoto United
0 : 1
ABS
25 Mar
City FC Abuja
1 : 2
Sokoto United
Page 1 of 6

Adamawa Utd

(Away)
06 Jun
Sokoto United
2 : 0
Adamawa Utd
01 Jun
De Sapele Lion
0 : 1
Adamawa Utd
25 Mar
Adamawa Utd
2 : 0
Gombe
13 Mar
Kebbi
2 : 1
Adamawa Utd
07 Mar
Adamawa Utd
1 : 0
Bichi First
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Kwara 0
Sokoto United 1
De Sapele Lion 0
Adamawa Utd 1
Bendel 3
Crown FC 1
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Akwa United 1
Shooting 1
Kada Warriors 2
Wikki Tourists 3
Bayelsa United 1
Bida Lions 2
Warri Wolves 0
Flight FC Gboko 2
Mighty Jets 1
Rivers United 3
Rangers International 2
Ejigbo City 0
Nasarawa United 3
Kogi United 0
Plateau United 1
Ingas 1
Basira 2
Ikorodu City 2
Jigawa Golden Stars 0
Enyimba International 1
Gombe 0
Sunshine Stars U19 2
Warinje 1
Barau 1
Abakaliki 0
1/8-finals
Sokoto United 2
Adamawa Utd 0
Bendel 3
El Kanemi Warriors 4
Kada Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 3
Bida Lions 0
Flight FC Gboko 1
Rivers United 2
Nasarawa United 3
Plateau United 2
Basira 1
Ikorodu City 2
Enyimba International 1
Sunshine Stars U19 1
Barau 2
Quarter-finals
Sokoto United 0
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Wikki Tourists 2
Flight FC Gboko 1
Nasarawa United 2
Plateau United 1
Ikorodu City 3
Barau 2
Semi-finals
El Kanemi Warriors 3
Wikki Tourists 1
Nasarawa United 1
Ikorodu City 2
Final
El Kanemi Warriors 1
Ikorodu City 0