Sport Picks

Nigeria

NNL 2024/2025 Pantami Stadium

Mailantarki Care

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sokoto United play Mailantarki Care in the NNL 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sokoto United averaged 0.88 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Mailantarki Care averaged 0.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, Sokoto United won 1, Mailantarki Care won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 30, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Sokoto United and 0.88 for Mailantarki Care. This points to a Sokoto United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Sokoto United

24%

Draws

35%

Mailantarki Care

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sokoto United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Sokoto United picked up more points recently compared to Mailantarki Care.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 46%

Over 2.5 Goals 26%

Over 3.5 Goals 16%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%

Sokoto United Clean Sheet 25%

Mailantarki Care Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 41%

Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sokoto United	Mailantarki Care
Matches Played	41	24
Wins	18	8
Draws	6	7
Losses	17	9
Goals Scored	0.88	0.92
Goals Conceded	0.76	0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 NNL

Sokoto United vs Mailantarki Care

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Mar 16, 2024 NNL

Sokoto United vs Mailantarki Care

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Dec 16, 2023 NNL

Mailantarki Care vs Sokoto United

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sokoto United 42 / 100

Mailantarki Care 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sokoto United Mailantarki Care

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sokoto United or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +30%

5.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sokoto United attacking → ← attacking Mailantarki Care

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sokoto United scored in 56% of their last 41 games.

Mailantarki Care let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Sokoto United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mailantarki Care lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 31

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Warri Wolves	18	11	6	1	27:11	39
2	Crown FC	18	11	3	4	17:13	36
3	Inter Lagos	18	8	6	4	24:11	30
4	Smart City	18	7	7	4	20:17	28
5	Beyond Limits FC	18	6	6	6	30:23	24
6	Abia Comets	18	5	8	5	17:14	23
7	Edel FC	18	6	3	9	19:20	21
8	Dakkada FC	18	3	9	6	22:27	18
9	Ijele	18	4	3	11	17:33	15
10	Igbajo	18	2	3	13	7:31	9
11	1472 FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kun Khalifa	20	10	7	3	21:13	37
2	Osun United	20	11	3	6	21:13	36
3	Sporting Lagos	20	9	5	6	27:16	32
4	Rovers FC	20	9	4	7	23:21	31
5	Solution	20	8	5	7	27:24	29
6	ABS	20	8	2	10	18:23	26
7	Godswill Akpabio	20	6	6	8	22:19	24
8	First Bank	20	7	3	10	17:26	24
9	Abakaliki	20	6	5	9	17:20	23
10	Madiba	20	7	2	11	25:33	23
11	Gateway United	20	6	4	10	21:31	22

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wikki Tourists	12	7	2	3	21:10	23
2	Barau	12	5	4	3	14:10	19
3	Gombe	12	6	0	6	13:11	18
4	Sokoto United	12	5	1	6	8:9	16
5	Mighty Jets	12	4	3	5	9:12	15
6	Jigawa Golden Stars	12	4	2	6	11:16	14
7	Zamfara United	12	4	2	6	10:18	14

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yobe Stars	12	6	2	4	16:11	20
2	Doma United	12	5	4	3	14:11	19
3	Kebbi	12	5	3	4	18:14	18
4	Basira	12	4	4	4	13:14	16
5	Sporting Supreme	12	5	1	6	13:17	16
6	Kada Warriors	12	4	3	5	12:16	15
7	Adamawa Utd	12	4	1	7	15:18	13