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Solbiatese vs Castellanzese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rusconi L.
19' Event
Chessa M.
65' Event
Chessa M.

AI Match Summary

Castellanzese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Castellanzese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Solbiatese
20%
Draws
51%
Castellanzese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castellanzese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Castellanzese have won more games recently than Solbiatese.
  • Win probability leans Castellanzese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Solbiatese Clean Sheet 20%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solbiatese Castellanzese
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 0.63 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Solbiatese vs Castellanzese
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solbiatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Scapinello D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Castellanzese Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Rusconi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solbiatese 20 / 100
Castellanzese 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solbiatese Castellanzese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellanzese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Castellanzese conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Solbiatese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Solbiatese found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Solbiatese VS Castellanzese
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solbiatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Pro Patria
0 : 1
Solbiatese
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
Page 1 of 2

Castellanzese

(Away)
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2
Castellanzese
27 Sept
Castellanzese
4 : 0
Crema
20 Sept
Solbiatese
1 : 4
Castellanzese
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
12 Sept
Lentigione
1 : 0
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)