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Solihull Moors vs Burnley U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Damson Park, Solihull
Tue, Sep 16, 2025
1 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Sonupe E. In: Holmes F.
Out: Sonupe E.
26'
Leuluai M.
46'
Sub
Stevenson B. In: Corns B.
Out: Stevenson B.

AI Match Summary

Solihull Moors in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Solihull Moors
20%
Draws
40%
Burnley U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Burnley U21 lately — more wins on the board than Solihull Moors.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Burnley U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Solihull Moors, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 20%
Burnley U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Burnley U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Solihull Moors vs Burnley U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 36 / 100
Burnley U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Burnley U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Solihull Moors found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solihull Moors has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Burnley U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.8
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2
Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Burton
25 Jul
Hereford
0 : 3
Solihull Moors
18 Jul
Hednesford
1 : 2
Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U21

(Away)
14 Aug
Wolves U21
2 : 0
Burnley U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
13 Apr
Burnley U21
2 : 1
West Brom U21
12 Apr
Burnley U21
0 : 2
Blackburn U21
23 Mar
Ipswich U21
0 : 0
Burnley U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)