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Solihull Moors vs Derby

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Wilkinson C. In: Creaney D.
Out: Wilkinson C.
15' Event
Creaney D.
24' Event
Adams E.

AI Match Summary

Derby in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Solihull Moors
20%
Draws
80%
Derby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Derby have won more games recently than Solihull Moors.
  • Derby are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Solihull Moors Clean Sheet 11%
Derby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solihull Moors Derby
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Solihull Moors vs Derby
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solihull Moors Compare

Top Goalscorer Creaney D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Green C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Derby Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Batth D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solihull Moors 18 / 100
Derby 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solihull Moors Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solihull Moors's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Derby conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Derby lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solihull Moors VS Derby
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solihull Moors

(Home)
22 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Southend
18 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
Middlesbrough U21
15 Aug
Solihull Moors
0 : 2
Boston United
08 Aug
Harrogate
5 : 2
Solihull Moors
01 Aug
Solihull Moors
2 : 4
Northampton
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Derby

(Away)
22 Aug
Derby
2 : 2
Cardiff
15 Aug
Charlton
2 : 1
Derby
08 Aug
Derby
1 : 2
Lincoln City
04 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1
Derby
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0
Derby
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