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Stadium Background

Soliman vs AS Marsa

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Soliman Municipal Stadium, Soliman
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Arfaoui Y.
62' Event
Gneba R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Soliman and AS Marsa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Marsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Soliman
20%
Draws
40%
AS Marsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • AS Marsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Soliman taking it.
  • Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Soliman Clean Sheet 20%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soliman AS Marsa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 2
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.63 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Soliman vs AS Marsa
0:2
Sep 18, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Soliman
1:0
Jun 19, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Soliman vs AS Marsa
1:0
May 22, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Soliman vs AS Marsa
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs Soliman
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soliman Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arfaoui Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gneba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soliman 42 / 100
AS Marsa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soliman AS Marsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Marsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Soliman stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Soliman scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Soliman VS AS Marsa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Soliman

(Home)
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1
Soliman
29 Apr
Soliman
1 : 1
Club Africain
25 Apr
Jeunesse Sportive
0 : 1
Soliman
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AS Marsa

(Away)
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
12 May
Jeunesse Sportive
2 : 2
AS Marsa
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3
CS Sfaxien
04 May
CA Bizertin
1 : 2
AS Marsa
30 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)