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Soller vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Roig Galmes J.
(Penalty)
26' Event
Ferrer M.
60' Event
Estrany J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 game between Soller and Constancia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Soller
30%
Draws
47%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Soller haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Constancia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Constancia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Soller Clean Sheet 17%
Constancia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soller Constancia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.83 2
Goals Conceded 3.03 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Constancia
0:4
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Soller
3:0
Apr 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Soller
4:1
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Constancia
1:2
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Constancia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soller Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estrany J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soller 10 / 100
Constancia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soller Constancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Soller found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Constancia let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Soller remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Soller

(Home)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
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Constancia

(Away)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)