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Soller vs Son Veri

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soller enters this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 62%. Soller averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.7 conceded in recent matches. Son Veri shows a form average of 0.6 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Soller, 0 wins for Son Veri, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 17.04.22 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.92 for Soller and 2.44 for Son Veri, suggesting the primary value lies in the Soller double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Soller
15%
Draws
23%
Son Veri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Soller picked up more points recently compared to Son Veri.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%
Son Veri Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soller Son Veri
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 0.91 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.71 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 N/A
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 N/A
Possession % N/A N/A
Shots per Match N/A N/A
Shots on Target N/A N/A
Corners per Match N/A N/A
Yellow/Red Cards N/A N/A

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

17.04.22 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Son Veri
2:0
18.12.21 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Veri vs Soller
2:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Soller

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Son Veri

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Squad Roster & Injury Alerts Unavailable

Real-time squad lineups, player goal/assist metrics, and live availability/injury alerts are currently not available. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soller 58 / 100
Son Veri 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soller Son Veri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soller Win (1)
Secondary Pick Soller & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Soller is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Soller 68%
Son Veri 18%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Son Veri will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Soller's attacks.

Soller 59%
Son Veri 24%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Soller to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Soller 62%
Son Veri 23%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Soller vary their attacking width.

Soller 65%
Son Veri 22%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Son Veri, allowing Soller's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Soller 56%
Son Veri 25%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Soller, while Son Veri takes risks to salvage a result.

Soller 71%
Son Veri 26%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Soller attacking → ← attacking Son Veri

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soller have found the net in 54% of their last 35 matches.

Son Veri have conceded at least one goal in 97% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Soller remained undefeated in 2 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Son Veri suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

History Log Unavailable

Historical prediction accuracy logs and success dashboards require a live connection to a completed tips outcome database. This section is currently flagged as: Needs a Real Data Source.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 8
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00
N/A Ball possession % N/A
N/A Shots per game N/A
N/A Shots on target N/A
N/A Corners per game N/A
N/A Cards per game N/A

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B403253105:27101
2Manacor402641074:4282
3UD Poblense40248889:2480
4Platges de Calvia402211756:2777
5Llosetense40229962:3675
6Santanyi402361166:4675
7Constancia402091154:3869
8PE Sant Jordi402081257:4668
9Portmany4017111255:5162
10Collerense401771645:4958
11Soller401691546:5257
12Binissalem4013121540:4451
13Mercadal4011121754:5145
14Inter Ibiza401272151:6243
15Rotlet Molinar401192035:5342
16El Espinar Sant Rafel4010102048:6440
17Campos4010102038:6440
18Felanitx409112043:6538
19Serverense40872535:7431
20Murense40582731:7623
21Son Veri40433328:12115