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Solomon Islands U19 vs New Caledonia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Sun, Jul 14, 2024
2 - 3
10:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Qaeze P.
37' Event
Iro G.
45' Event
Abana J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with New Caledonia U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Solomon Islands U19
15%
Draws
28%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Solomon Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Solomon Islands U19 come out ahead of New Caledonia U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Solomon Islands U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Solomon Islands U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor New Caledonia U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Solomon Islands U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 15 14
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.71 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Solomon Islands U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:0
Sep 3, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
1:3
Jul 14, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Solomon Islands U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:3
Sep 18, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Solomon Islands U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iro G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abana J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qaeze P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands U19 74 / 100
New Caledonia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands U19 New Caledonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Solomon Islands U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Solomon Islands U19 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

New Caledonia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Solomon Islands U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands U19 VS New Caledonia U19
2 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
New Caledonia U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea U19
Page 1 of 6

New Caledonia U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Solomon Islands U19 2
New Caledonia U19 3
New Zealand U19 1
Fiji U19 0
Final
New Caledonia U19 0
New Zealand U19 4
Solomon Islands U19 4
Fiji U19 2