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Solomon Islands vs Bulgaria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

FIFA Series Madya Stadium, Jakarta
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Match Events

5' Event
Petkov M.
Assist: Dimitrov Z.
9'
Mango P.
13' Event
Yordanov T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-10. This leg finished 2-10.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Solomon Islands
35%
Draws
30%
Bulgaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Solomon Islands lately — more wins on the board than Bulgaria.
  • Model gives Bulgaria a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Solomon Islands have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bulgaria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Bulgaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands Bulgaria
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.71 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 FIFA Series
Solomon Islands vs Bulgaria
2:10

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Le'ai R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bulgaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolov V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Petkov M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands 26 / 100
Bulgaria 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands Bulgaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bulgaria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 12.00 goals when they meet.

Solomon Islands found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Bulgaria let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Solomon Islands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands VS Bulgaria
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands

(Home)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 6

Bulgaria

(Away)
06 Oct
Luxembourg
0 : 2
Bulgaria
03 Oct
Iceland
3 : 0
Bulgaria
29 Sept
Bulgaria
0 : 0
Estonia
26 Sept
Bulgaria
1 : 2
Luxembourg
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Azerbaijan 6
Saint Lucia 1
Oman -
Sierra Leone -
Indonesia 4
Saint Kitts and Nevis 0
Solomon Islands 2
Bulgaria 10
Kazakhstan -
Comoros -
Kuwait -
Namibia -
United States Virgin Islands 5
American Samoa 2
Puerto Rico 4
Guam 0
Rwanda 4
Grenada 0
Kenya 1
Estonia 2
Aruba 4
Macau 1
Tanzania 0
Liechtenstein 1
Final
Azerbaijan 2
Sierra Leone 1
Indonesia 0
Bulgaria 1
TBD -
TBD -
United States Virgin Islands 0
Puerto Rico 2
Rwanda 2
Estonia 0
Aruba 4
Liechtenstein 1