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Solomon Islands vs Fiji

World World

World Championship 2026 HFC Bank Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Solomon Islands play Fiji in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Solomon Islands averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Fiji averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Solomon Islands won 0, Fiji won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Solomon Islands and 1.75 for Fiji. This points to a Fiji double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Solomon Islands
18%
Draws
46%
Fiji
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Fiji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Solomon Islands picked up more points recently compared to Fiji.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 12%
Fiji Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands Fiji
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.64 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International
Fiji vs Solomon Islands
1:1
Dec 21, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Fiji
1:3
Oct 10, 2024 World Championship
Solomon Islands vs Fiji
0:1
Sep 2, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs Solomon Islands
1:0
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Fiji
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Fiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Krishna R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands 35 / 100
Fiji 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands Fiji

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fiji or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Solomon Islands attacking → ← attacking Fiji

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Islands scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Fiji let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solomon Islands went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fiji lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 41
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Caledonia32107:47
2Fiji31205:45
3Solomon Islands31024:53
4Papua New Guinea30125:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Zealand330019:19
2Tahiti32015:36
3Vanuatu31025:113
4Samoa30031:150