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Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Fri, Nov 14, 2025
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Solomon Islands host New Caledonia in the Friendly International 2025. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Solomon Islands at 1.76 goals for, 1.79 against; New Caledonia at 2.19 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor New Caledonia slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 21, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.94) point toward New Caledonia. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Solomon Islands
30%
Draws
23%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Solomon Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Islands haven't matched New Caledonia's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands New Caledonia
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.76 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Friendly International
New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands
0:2
Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia
0:0
Nov 14, 2024 World Championship
Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia
2:3
Jun 21, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands
0:0
Dec 1, 2023 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands 30 / 100
New Caledonia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands New Caledonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Solomon Islands scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: New Caledonia conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solomon Islands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands VS New Caledonia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands

(Home)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
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New Caledonia

(Away)
30 Sept
Fiji
2 : 1
New Caledonia
27 Sept
Vanuatu
4 : 1
New Caledonia
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
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