Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea

World World

Friendly International 2024 National Stadium, Honiara
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Boyers R.
27' Event
Komolong A.
71' Event
Rani S.

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Papua New Guinea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Solomon Islands
35%
Draws
26%
Papua New Guinea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Solomon Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Islands have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea.
  • Win probability leans Papua New Guinea's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands Papua New Guinea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:0
Dec 18, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea
2:3
Nov 17, 2024 World Championship
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyers R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keana D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Papua New Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Komolong A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands 18 / 100
Papua New Guinea 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands Papua New Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Islands's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Papua New Guinea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solomon Islands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands VS Papua New Guinea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands

(Home)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 6

Papua New Guinea

(Away)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
27 Sept
Fiji
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
Page 1 of 6