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Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu

World World

Friendly International 2024 Lawson Tama Stadium, Honiara
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Boyers R.
(Penalty)
28'
Boulet T.
36' Event
Molea T.

AI Match Summary

Solomon Islands in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Solomon Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Solomon Islands
20%
Draws
74%
Vanuatu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Solomon Islands have won more games recently than Vanuatu.
  • Win probability leans Vanuatu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Solomon Islands Vanuatu
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Solomon Islands
2:1
Dec 9, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
4:1
Jun 15, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
0:1
Oct 11, 2023 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
1:0
Mar 23, 2023 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Solomon Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Molea T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyers R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Philip L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Solomon Islands 10 / 100
Vanuatu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Solomon Islands Vanuatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Solomon Islands scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solomon Islands has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Solomon Islands VS Vanuatu
1.13 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Solomon Islands

(Home)
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10
Bulgaria
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0
Solomon Islands
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Vanuatu

(Away)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
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