Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Soma Spor vs Adanaspor AS

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Pektas O.
Assist: Celik N. B.
65' Event
Gulmez A.
Assist: Saglik E.
70' Event
Celik N. B.
Assist: Gunduz M.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Soma Spor and Adanaspor AS finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soma Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Soma Spor
15%
Draws
26%
Adanaspor AS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Soma Spor come out ahead of Adanaspor AS on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Soma Spor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 20%
Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Adanaspor AS
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 3
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.44 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.81 4.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Adanaspor AS
5:0
Nov 2, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Adanaspor AS vs Soma Spor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pektas O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gulmez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 85 / 100
Adanaspor AS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Adanaspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soma Spor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanaspor AS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: Soma Spor scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Soma Spor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Soma Spor VS Adanaspor AS
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Soma Spor

(Home)
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

Adanaspor AS

(Away)
03 Oct
Adanaspor AS
1 : 2
Mazidagi
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
20 Sept
Adanaspor AS
1 : 3
Karakopru
16 Sept
Adanaspor AS
:
Yeni Malatyaspor
12 Sept
Adana Adaletgucu
5 : 1
Adanaspor AS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)