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Soma Spor vs Arhavispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Soma Spor play Arhavispor in the 3. Lig Group 3 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Soma Spor averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Arhavispor averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Soma Spor won 2, Arhavispor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 3, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Soma Spor and 1.63 for Arhavispor. This points to a Soma Spor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Soma Spor
21%
Draws
25%
Arhavispor
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Soma Spor picked up more points recently compared to Arhavispor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 14%
Arhavispor Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soma Spor Arhavispor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Soma Spor vs Arhavispor
3:0
Nov 1, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Arhavispor vs Soma Spor
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Caglar N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aydin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arhavispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soma Spor 51 / 100
Arhavispor 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soma Spor Arhavispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soma Spor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Soma Spor & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Soma Spor attacking → ← attacking Arhavispor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soma Spor scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Arhavispor let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Soma Spor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arhavispor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 23
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Soma Spor32209364:3069
2Erokspor32197659:2764
3Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu321410842:3252
4Isparta 32 Spor321481049:3550
5Catalca Spor321310935:3149
6Carsambaspor321211940:2947
7Karsiyaka321281236:3944
8Hacettepe 19453211101136:3443
9Sile Yildizspor3211101138:3943
1023 Elazig FK32914937:3941
11Osmaniyespor321281235:3241
12Erbaaspor321171429:3540
13Batman Petrolspor329121124:3039
14Cizrespor326141230:5532
15Golcukspor32851927:4229
16Arhavispor32691723:4927
17Yalovaspor324101826:5222