Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somalia U17 vs Egypt U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Egypt U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U17
15%
Draws
85%
Egypt U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Egypt U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Egypt U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Egypt U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Egypt U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Egypt U17 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U17 Egypt U17
Matches Played 12 36
Wins 2 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Somalia U17
4:2
Sep 6, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Somalia U17 vs Egypt U17
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U17 10 / 100
Egypt U17 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U17 Egypt U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Somalia U17 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (12 games).

Away concern: Egypt U17 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Somalia U17 VS Egypt U17
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U17

(Home)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

Egypt U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1
Tanzania U17
24 May
Ivory Coast U17
1 : 4
Egypt U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4