Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somalia U17 vs Tunisia U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tayechi F.
Assist: Saidi A.
42'
Abdullahi H.
43' Event
Saidi A.
Assist: Tayechi F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Tunisia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Somalia U17
15%
Draws
85%
Tunisia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tunisia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tunisia U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tunisia U17 taking it.
  • Tunisia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tunisia U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Somalia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tunisia U17 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somalia U17 Tunisia U17
Matches Played 12 33
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Somalia U17 vs Tunisia U17
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somalia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Tunisia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tayechi F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saidi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia U17 10 / 100
Tunisia U17 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somalia U17 Tunisia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tunisia U17 has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Tunisia U17 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Somalia U17 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Somalia U17 VS Tunisia U17
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia U17

(Home)
07 Apr
Senegal U17
2 : 0
Somalia U17
04 Apr
Gambia U17
5 : 1
Somalia U17
01 Apr
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Tunisia U17
25 Mar
Ivory Coast U17
7 : 1
Somalia U17
05 May
Somalia U17
0 : 3
Senegal U17
Page 1 of 3

Tunisia U17

(Away)
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
13 May
Morocco U17
1 : 1
Tunisia U17
15 Nov
Austria U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
09 Nov
Belgium U17
2 : 0
Tunisia U17
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Zambia U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Uganda U17 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Tanzania U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burkina Faso U17 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 South Africa U17 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Egypt U17 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
4 Cameroon U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U17 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Senegal U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Gambia U17 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 Somalia U17 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mali U17 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Angola U17 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Central Africa U17 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 2025 (World Cup - Promotion)