Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Estádio do Zimpeto, Maputo

Somalia

1 - 3

Botswana

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Sesinyi T.

Assist: Velaphi A.

46'

Sub

Shirwa I. In: Hassan S.

Out: Shirwa I.

50'

Ramotse O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Botswana in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botswana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Somalia

15%

Draws

20%

Botswana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Botswana have won more games recently than Somalia.
Model gives Somalia a 65% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Somalia Clean Sheet 68%

Botswana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Somalia	Botswana
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	4	6
Draws	5	8
Losses	21	14
Goals Scored	0.43	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 World Championship

Botswana vs Somalia

2:0

Jun 10, 2024 World Championship

Somalia vs Botswana

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Botswana Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesinyi T.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gaolaolwe M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia 95 / 100

Botswana 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Somalia Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somalia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botswana conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Somalia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Botswana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somalia VS Botswana

0.38 Goals Scored 0.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia

(Home)

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

26 Nov

Oman

1 : 0

Somalia

21 Nov

Bahrain

0 : 1

Somalia

17 Nov

Bahrain

1 : 2

Somalia

Page 1 of 6

Botswana

(Away)

31 Mar

Botswana

1 : 0

Malawi

28 Mar

Botswana

0 : 3

Zimbabwe

30 Dec

Botswana

0 : 3

D.R. Congo

27 Dec

Benin

1 : 0

Botswana

23 Dec

Senegal

3 : 0

Botswana

Page 1 of 6