Sport Picks

Somalia vs Ivory Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan

Somalia

0 - 2

Ivory Coast

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Hassan S.

46'

Sub

Othman F. In: Ali M.

Out: Othman F.

65'

Sub

Wahi E. In: Fofana R.

Out: Wahi E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Somalia

15%

Draws

59%

Ivory Coast

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivory Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ivory Coast come out ahead of Somalia on wins alone.
Model gives Ivory Coast a 59% chance of winning this.
Ivory Coast arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ivory Coast, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Somalia Clean Sheet 16%

Ivory Coast Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Somalia	Ivory Coast
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	3	22
Draws	5	2
Losses	23	7
Goals Scored	0.42	1.71
Goals Conceded	1.71	0.58
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations

Somalia vs Ivory Coast

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somalia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Ivory Coast Compare

Top Goalscorer Gboho Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Toure B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia 23 / 100

Ivory Coast 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Somalia Ivory Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivory Coast Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:10

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Somalia found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Ivory Coast conceded in 35% of 31 recent games.

Somalia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somalia VS Ivory Coast

0.5 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia

(Home)

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

25 Sept

Gambia

2 : 1

Somalia

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

26 Nov

Oman

1 : 0

Somalia

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Ivory Coast

(Away)

29 Sept

Somalia

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

24 Sept

Ivory Coast

2 : 0

Ghana

30 Jun

Ivory Coast

1 : 2

Norway

25 Jun

Curacao

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

20 Jun

Germany

2 : 1

Ivory Coast

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