Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Miloud Hadefi stadium, Oran

Somalia

0 - 1

Mozambique

Our Tip

Match Events

Catamo G.

Assist: Langa B.

36'

Abdullahi A.

46'

Sub

Langa B. In: Dove E.

Out: Langa B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mozambique in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mozambique.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Somalia

15%

Draws

20%

Mozambique

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence

Mozambique have won more games recently than Somalia.
Model gives Somalia a 65% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Somalia Clean Sheet 20%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Somalia	Mozambique
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	3	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	0.43	1.04
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.79
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 World Championship

Somalia vs Mozambique

0:1

Jun 7, 2024 World Championship

Mozambique vs Somalia

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somalia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Catamo G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.63

Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somalia 85 / 100

Mozambique 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Somalia Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somalia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mozambique conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Somalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mozambique's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Somalia VS Mozambique

0.5 Goals Scored 1

0.38 Goals Conceded 2

13% Over 1.5 63%

13% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Somalia

(Home)

31 Mar

Mauritius

0 : 1

Somalia

27 Mar

Somalia

0 : 0

Mauritius

26 Nov

Oman

1 : 0

Somalia

21 Nov

Bahrain

0 : 1

Somalia

17 Nov

Bahrain

1 : 2

Somalia

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Mozambique

(Away)

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

28 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Mozambique

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