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Somerset vs Riverside Olympic U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Somerset and Riverside Olympic U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somerset.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Somerset
15%
Draws
0%
Riverside Olympic U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somerset

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Somerset carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Riverside Olympic U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Somerset Clean Sheet 14%
Riverside Olympic U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somerset Riverside Olympic U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 0
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 2.1 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.97 3.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Somerset
3:0
Jul 11, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Riverside Olympic U21
1:0
May 9, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Somerset
3:1
Aug 30, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Riverside Olympic U21 vs Somerset
1:4
Jul 12, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Riverside Olympic U21
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somerset 10 / 100
Riverside Olympic U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somerset Riverside Olympic U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riverside Olympic U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riverside Olympic U21 let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Riverside Olympic U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Somerset's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Somerset VS Riverside Olympic U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somerset

(Home)
29 Aug
Launceston City U21
2 : 0
Somerset
22 Aug
Somerset
0 : 8
Devonport U21
15 Aug
Somerset
0 : 11
Northern Rangers
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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Riverside Olympic U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 3
Burnie United
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Devonport U21
6 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
08 Aug
Launceston United U21
2 : 1
Riverside Olympic U21
01 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
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