Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Somesul Dej vs Progresul Somcuta Mare

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Somesul Dej in this Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somesul Dej.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Somesul Dej
15%
Draws
36%
Progresul Somcuta Mare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Somesul Dej

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Somesul Dej lately — more wins on the board than Progresul Somcuta Mare.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Somesul Dej taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Somesul Dej have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Somesul Dej Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Somcuta Mare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somesul Dej Progresul Somcuta Mare
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.87 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Somesul Dej vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Somesul Dej
2:3
Apr 17, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Progresul Somcuta Mare vs Somesul Dej
0:0
Oct 24, 2020 Liga 3 - Seria 10
Somesul Dej vs Progresul Somcuta Mare
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somesul Dej 85 / 100
Progresul Somcuta Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somesul Dej Progresul Somcuta Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somesul Dej Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Somcuta Mare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Somesul Dej found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Progresul Somcuta Mare lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somesul Dej VS Progresul Somcuta Mare
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Somesul Dej

(Home)
21 May
Somesul Dej
3 : 1
Baia Mare
14 May
Baile Felix
2 : 0
Somesul Dej
07 May
CA Oradea
1 : 0
Somesul Dej
04 May
Baia Mare
2 : 0
Somesul Dej
30 Apr
Somesul Dej
0 : 0
Baile Felix
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Progresul Somcuta Mare

(Away)
17 Aug
Progresul Somcuta Mare
1 : 12
CSM Satu Mare
28 May
SCM Zalau
5 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
21 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
5 : 1
Luceafarul Oradea
14 May
Progresul Somcuta Mare
0 : 2
CSM Satu Mare
07 May
CFR Cluj II
4 : 2
Progresul Somcuta Mare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baia Mare 18 13 3 2 57:20 42
2 CA Oradea 18 12 3 3 43:21 39
3 Somesul Dej 18 11 2 5 41:20 35
4 Baile Felix 18 8 5 5 38:23 29
5 SCM Zalau 18 9 1 8 44:35 28
6 Simleul Silvaniei 18 6 5 7 21:31 23
7 CFR Cluj II 18 6 3 9 22:26 21
8 CSM Satu Mare 18 4 6 8 24:33 18
9 Progresul Somcuta Mare 18 4 5 9 26:40 17
10 Luceafarul Oradea 18 0 1 17 6:73 -3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 10 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)