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Somorrostro vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
28' Event
(Penalty)
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2020 game between Somorrostro and Barakaldo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Somorrostro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Somorrostro
30%
Draws
23%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Somorrostro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barakaldo come out ahead of Somorrostro on wins alone.
  • Somorrostro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 20%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somorrostro Barakaldo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2020 Club Friendly
Somorrostro vs Barakaldo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somorrostro 85 / 100
Barakaldo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somorrostro Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somorrostro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Barakaldo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Somorrostro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barakaldo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Somorrostro

(Home)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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Barakaldo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
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