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Somozas vs Atletico Arteixo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
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Match Events

30' Event
Otero A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Somozas and Atletico Arteixo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Arteixo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Somozas
35%
Draws
41%
Atletico Arteixo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Arteixo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Arteixo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Somozas Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Atletico Arteixo
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Atletico Arteixo
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Atletico Arteixo
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Somozas
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Otero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 42 / 100
Atletico Arteixo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Atletico Arteixo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Atletico Arteixo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Somozas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Atletico Arteixo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Arteixo

(Away)
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)