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Somozas vs CD Boiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Leonardo I.
71' Event
Diego
80' Event
Leonardo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 game between Somozas and CD Boiro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Somozas
6%
Draws
90%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Boiro's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Somozas have produced (0.88).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CD Boiro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Somozas Clean Sheet 16%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas CD Boiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:3
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardo I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Bermudez J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 10 / 100
CD Boiro 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Boiro has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Somozas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS CD Boiro
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
19 Apr
CD Boiro
6 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)