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Somozas vs CD Boiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Leonardo I.
71' Event
Diego
80' Event
Leonardo I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Somozas and CD Boiro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Somozas
35%
Draws
41%
CD Boiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Boiro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas CD Boiro
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:3
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardo I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Boiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Diego
1 Goals
Assists Leader Blanco Bermudez J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 35 / 100
CD Boiro 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas CD Boiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somozas found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

CD Boiro has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Somozas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS CD Boiro
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

CD Boiro

(Away)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)