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Somozas vs Laracha

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Somozas Logo

Somozas

2 - 1
FT
Laracha Logo

Laracha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Somozas
35%
Draws
37%
Laracha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Laracha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas have won more games recently than Laracha.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Somozas Clean Sheet 20%
Laracha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Laracha
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Laracha
2:1
Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Somozas
1:0
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Somozas
2:1
Sep 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Laracha
2:2
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Laracha
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 40 / 100
Laracha 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Laracha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laracha conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Somozas's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Somozas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 8

Laracha

(Away)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)