Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Crespo M.
67'
67'
Parafita R.
82'
82'
Cerro J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paiosaco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
24%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Somozas lately — more wins on the board than Paiosaco.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Somozas | Paiosaco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Paiosaco
2:2
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Somozas
0:1
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Somozas
0:2
Dec 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Paiosaco
3:1
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Somozas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Somozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespo M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cerro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Paiosaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Parafita R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Somozas 41 / 100
Paiosaco 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Somozas Paiosaco
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Somozas scored in 69% of their last 39 games.
Defensive concern: Paiosaco conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Somozas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Somozas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Somozas
(Home) 13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0 Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2 Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0 Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2 CD Boiro
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Compostela
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1 Viveiro
05 Apr
Somozas
1 : 2 Montaneros
Page 1 of 5
Paiosaco
(Away) 12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0 Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0 Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0 Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0 Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2 Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0 Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0 Paiosaco
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2 Paiosaco
07 Apr
Gran Pena
1 : 1 Paiosaco
23 Mar
Rapido de Bouzas
0 : 2 Paiosaco
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 73 |
| 2 | Gran Pena | 34 | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48:30 | 61 |
| 3 | Arosa SC | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 39:23 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Sarriana | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:35 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 46:39 | 47 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:39 | 45 |
| 8 | Estradense | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:32 | 45 |
| 9 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 33:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Viveiro | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:42 | 44 |
| 11 | Alondras | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 37:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Silva SD | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:35 | 43 |
| 13 | Lugo B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 32:34 | 43 |
| 14 | Betanzos CF | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:31 | 43 |
| 15 | Rapido de Bouzas | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 16 | Paiosaco | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 30:42 | 41 |
| 17 | Pontevedra B | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 18 | Arzua | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24:66 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
