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Somozas vs Portonovo SD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Somozas
30%
Draws
41%
Portonovo SD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portonovo SD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas have won more games recently than Portonovo SD.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Portonovo SD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Portonovo SD
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1 0.66
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Portonovo SD
0:0
Mar 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Portonovo SD
2:0
Oct 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Somozas
0:1
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Portonovo SD vs Somozas
1:0
Nov 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Portonovo SD
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 95 / 100
Portonovo SD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Portonovo SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Somozas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Portonovo SD conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Somozas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Portonovo SD
1 Goals Scored 1.17
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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Portonovo SD

(Away)
04 Oct
Portonovo SD
0 : 1
Lalin
27 Sept
Portonovo SD
4 : 2
Silva SD
20 Sept
Barco
2 : 1
Portonovo SD
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)