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Somozas vs Sarriana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rodriguez A.
62' Event
Lopez C.
88' Event
Lucas

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Somozas
20%
Draws
51%
Sarriana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Somozas haven't matched Sarriana's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sarriana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Somozas Clean Sheet 18%
Sarriana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Sarriana
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.35
Goals Conceded 1 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Sarriana
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Somozas
5:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Sarriana
2:3
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sarriana vs Somozas
3:2
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Sarriana
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sarriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 36 / 100
Sarriana 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Sarriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Somozas scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Sarriana has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Somozas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Sarriana
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Antela
1 : 0
Somozas
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
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Sarriana

(Away)
04 Oct
Somozas
2 : 1
Sarriana
26 Sept
Sarriana
3 : 2
Gran Pena
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
2 Barco 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lalin 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
4 Antela 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Sarriana 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
6 Racing Club Villalbes 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Alondras 5 3 0 2 10:9 9
8 Pontevedra B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
9 Portonovo SD 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Gran Pena 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
11 Estradense 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
12 Celtiga 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Somozas 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Atletico Arteixo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Silva SD 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
16 Viveiro 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
17 Arenteiro 5 1 0 4 4:7 3
18 Montaneros 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)