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Somozas vs Viveiro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Leonardo I.
36' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Somozas and Viveiro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Somozas
35%
Draws
26%
Viveiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Somozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Somozas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Somozas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Somozas Clean Sheet 68%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Somozas Viveiro
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Viveiro
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Somozas
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Viveiro
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Somozas
0:2
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Viveiro
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonardo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Viveiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Somozas 68 / 100
Viveiro 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Somozas Viveiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Somozas scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Viveiro let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Somozas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Somozas VS Viveiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Somozas

(Home)
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

Viveiro

(Away)
06 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Antela
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)