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Son Ferrer vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Son Ferrer
15%
Draws
85%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Collerense lately — more wins on the board than Son Ferrer.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Collerense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 20%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Son Ferrer Collerense
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 9
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.61 1.24
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Son Ferrer
4:0
Sep 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Collerense
2:2
Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Collerense
0:0
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Son Ferrer
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Son Ferrer 10 / 100
Collerense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Son Ferrer Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Collerense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collerense let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Collerense registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Son Ferrer found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Collerense
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Son Ferrer

(Home)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 7

Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)