Sport Picks
Son Ferrer vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Son Ferrer and El Espinar Sant Rafel finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Espinar Sant Rafel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- El Espinar Sant Rafel carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives El Espinar Sant Rafel a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- El Espinar Sant Rafel have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 17%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Son Ferrer | El Espinar Sant Rafel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 1 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 28 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.1 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:3
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Son Ferrer
1:0
Mar 17, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Son Ferrer
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Son Ferrer 20 / 100
El Espinar Sant Rafel 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Son Ferrer El Espinar Sant Rafel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Espinar Sant Rafel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: El Espinar Sant Rafel conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Away concern: El Espinar Sant Rafel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Son Ferrer scored in 37% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Son Ferrer
(Home) 19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1 Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1 Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1 Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1 Andratx
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
07 Apr
Son Ferrer
0 : 3 El Espinar Sant Rafel
24 Mar
Son Ferrer
0 : 5 Formentera
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El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Away) 27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
Page 1 of 7
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Mar
UD Poblense
1 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
16 Mar
Collerense
2 : 1 El Espinar Sant Rafel
12 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
