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Son Veri vs Constancia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Son Veri play Constancia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022. Constancia are favorites here. Recently, Son Veri averaged 0.57 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. Constancia averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Son Veri won 0, Constancia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Son Veri and 0.99 for Constancia. This points to a Constancia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Son Veri
15%
Draws
73%
Constancia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Son Veri picked up more points recently compared to Constancia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Son Veri Clean Sheet 23%
Constancia Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Son Veri Constancia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.57 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.17 0.94

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Veri vs Constancia
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Son Veri
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Son Veri 15 / 100
Constancia 69 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Son Veri Constancia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Constancia & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Son Veri attacking → ← attacking Constancia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Son Veri scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Constancia let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Son Veri went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Constancia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mallorca B403253105:27101
2Manacor402641074:4282
3UD Poblense40248889:2480
4Platges de Calvia402211756:2777
5Llosetense40229962:3675
6Santanyi402361166:4675
7Constancia402091154:3869
8PE Sant Jordi402081257:4668
9Portmany4017111255:5162
10Collerense401771645:4958
11Soller401691546:5257
12Binissalem4013121540:4451
13Mercadal4011121754:5145
14Inter Ibiza401272151:6243
15Rotlet Molinar401192035:5342
16El Espinar Sant Rafel4010102048:6440
17Campos4010102038:6440
18Felanitx409112043:6538
19Serverense40872535:7431
20Murense40582731:7623
21Son Veri40433328:12115