Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sona vs Arconatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Menegazzo G.
16' Event
Chessa M.
54' Event
Menegazzo G.

AI Match Summary

Arconatese in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arconatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sona
35%
Draws
13%
Arconatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arconatese lately — more wins on the board than Sona.
  • Win probability leans Sona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Arconatese have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sona Clean Sheet 68%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Arconatese
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Arconatese
0:4
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Sona
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Arconatese
0:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Sona
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Menegazzo G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chessa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 95 / 100
Arconatese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Arconatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arconatese has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Sona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arconatese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arconatese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Arconatese

(Away)
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
04 May
Breno
4 : 1
Arconatese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)