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Sona vs Breno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cargiolli A.
83' Event
Ferrari S.

AI Match Summary

Sona in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sona
35%
Draws
25%
Breno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Breno have won more games recently than Sona.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sona Clean Sheet 20%
Breno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Breno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Breno
2:0
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Sona
2:2
Apr 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Breno
0:3
Dec 12, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Sona
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Breno
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cargiolli A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrari S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Breno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 42 / 100
Breno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Breno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Breno has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sona scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Breno

(Away)
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2
Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Breno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)