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Sona vs Brusaporto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cortinovis D.

AI Match Summary

Brusaporto in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sona
20%
Draws
34%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Brusaporto have won more games recently than Sona.
  • Sona are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sona Clean Sheet 20%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Brusaporto
0:1
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sona
1:1
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Brusaporto
2:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sona
3:2
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortinovis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 42 / 100
Brusaporto 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusaporto let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Brusaporto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Brusaporto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Brusaporto

(Away)
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0
Brusaporto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)