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Sona vs Caronnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Tuzzo F.
67' Event
Strechie R.

AI Match Summary

Sona in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sona
20%
Draws
0%
Caronnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sona have won more games recently than Caronnese.
  • Win probability leans Sona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sona Clean Sheet 68%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Caronnese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0.8 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Caronnese
2:0
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Sona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sona Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuzzo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strechie R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caronnese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 95 / 100
Caronnese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Caronnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caronnese let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Caronnese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sona VS Caronnese
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Caronnese

(Away)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)