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Sona vs Villa Valle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Sona Logo

Sona

0 - 0
FT
Villa Valle Logo

Villa Valle

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Sona and Villa Valle finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sona
35%
Draws
18%
Villa Valle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa Valle come out ahead of Sona on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sona Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sona Villa Valle
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Villa Valle
0:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Sona
2:1
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Sona
0:0
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Villa Valle
1:0
Mar 27, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Sona
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sona 41 / 100
Villa Valle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sona Villa Valle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villa Valle has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Sona stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sona scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Villa Valle
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sona

(Home)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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Villa Valle

(Away)
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2
AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2
Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1
Villa Valle
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)