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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASFA Yennega

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de la SONABEL
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ouedraogo V. A.

AI Match Summary

Sonabel Ouagadougou in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sonabel Ouagadougou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
39%
Draws
31%
ASFA Yennega
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • ASFA Yennega has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sonabel Ouagadougou.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 20%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou ASFA Yennega
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASFA Yennega
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Mar 24, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
3:0
Nov 17, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs ASFA Yennega
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo V. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

ASFA Yennega Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 31 / 100
ASFA Yennega 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou ASFA Yennega

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonabel Ouagadougou scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

ASFA Yennega let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Sonabel Ouagadougou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

ASFA Yennega lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS ASFA Yennega
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726