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Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Real Du Faso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade de la SONABEL
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ouedraogo V. A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Sonabel Ouagadougou and Real Du Faso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sonabel Ouagadougou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
20%
Draws
38%
Real Du Faso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Du Faso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sonabel Ouagadougou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Real Du Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonabel Ouagadougou Real Du Faso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Real Du Faso
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Real Du Faso
0:3
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:3
Feb 25, 2023 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonabel Ouagadougou 51 / 100
Real Du Faso 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonabel Ouagadougou Real Du Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sonabel Ouagadougou remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sonabel Ouagadougou's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Du Faso let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Real Du Faso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726