Sport Picks
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
Burkina Faso
Premier League Stade de la SONABEL, Ouagadougou 
Match Events
13'
13'
Kone A.
Assist: Ouattara I.
29'
29'
Zongo M.
Assist: Mel E.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Sonabel Ouagadougou and Sporting Cascades finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Sporting Cascades carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 21%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sonabel Ouagadougou | Sporting Cascades |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Feb 8, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sonabel Ouagadougou Compare
Top Goalscorer Kone A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sporting Cascades Compare
Top Goalscorer Zongo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sonabel Ouagadougou 41 / 100
Sporting Cascades 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sonabel Ouagadougou Sporting Cascades
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sonabel Ouagadougou has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sonabel Ouagadougou's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sporting Cascades conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sonabel Ouagadougou VS Sporting Cascades
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sonabel Ouagadougou
(Home) 10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1 Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0 Sonabel Ouagadougou
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1 CFFEB
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0 ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0 ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1 CFFEB
04 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 0 Kadiogo
09 Mar
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 2 Rahimo
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Cascades
(Away) 10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2 Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1 Majestic
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0 Etoile Filante
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1 Sporting Cascades
10 Apr
Salitas
2 : 1 Sporting Cascades
Page 1 of 6
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2 Sporting Cascades
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1 Sporting Cascades
10 Apr
Salitas
2 : 1 Sporting Cascades
13 Mar
USFA
0 : 0 Sporting Cascades
10 Mar
AS Douanes
0 : 0 Sporting Cascades
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rahimo | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 47:15 | 69 |
| 2 | USFA | 30 | 12 | 13 | 5 | 31:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Sporting Cascades | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 25:18 | 43 |
| 4 | AS Douanes | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 29:29 | 43 |
| 5 | Majestic | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | 43 |
| 6 | CFFEB | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 25:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Salitas | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 29:31 | 40 |
| 8 | Kadiogo | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 27:27 | 38 |
| 9 | ASFA Yennega | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:28 | 38 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:25 | 37 |
| 11 | Real Du Faso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 12 | ASF Dioulasso | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 25:31 | 37 |
| 13 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 24:28 | 36 |
| 14 | Etoile Filante | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 15 | Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 11:28 | 27 |
| 16 | AJE Bobo-Dioulasso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:37 | 26 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
