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Sonacos vs ASC HLM

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Sonacos Logo

Sonacos

0 - 0
FT
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sonacos
35%
Draws
43%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC HLM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC HLM lately — more wins on the board than Sonacos.
  • Win probability leans ASC HLM's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 20%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonacos ASC HLM
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 13 18
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.6 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC HLM
0:0
Feb 9, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Sonacos
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Sonacos
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC HLM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonacos 28 / 100
ASC HLM 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonacos ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sonacos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sonacos scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

ASC HLM let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sonacos VS ASC HLM
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonacos

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)