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Sonacos vs ASC Jaraaf

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Sonacos and ASC Jaraaf finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sonacos
35%
Draws
49%
ASC Jaraaf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • ASC Jaraaf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on ASC Jaraaf taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 23%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sonacos ASC Jaraaf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 13 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Sonacos
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0
Jun 26, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs Sonacos
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC Jaraaf
1:0
Mar 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sonacos 21 / 100
ASC Jaraaf 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sonacos ASC Jaraaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC Jaraaf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sonacos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sonacos scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

ASC Jaraaf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sonacos VS ASC Jaraaf
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sonacos

(Home)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 6

ASC Jaraaf

(Away)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)