Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sondrio vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sondrio
39%
Draws
31%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ciserano-Bergamo lately — more wins on the board than Sondrio.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 68%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sondrio Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Sondrio
2:1
Jan 26, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Sondrio
1:1
Sep 22, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sondrio 41 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sondrio Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sondrio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ciserano-Bergamo conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Sondrio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sondrio VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sondrio

(Home)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
02 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 2
Varesina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)