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Stadium Background

Sondrio vs Ciserano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Sondrio and Ciserano finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sondrio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sondrio
15%
Draws
26%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sondrio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sondrio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sondrio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ciserano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 18%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sondrio Ciserano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.31 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciserano
3:0
Nov 10, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Sondrio
5:2
Feb 10, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Ciserano
0:1
Oct 10, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Sondrio
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Sondrio
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sondrio 85 / 100
Ciserano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sondrio Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sondrio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sondrio found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Sondrio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sondrio VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sondrio

(Home)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
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Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)